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Showing posts from March, 2020

COVID19 and the Politik surrounding it

Danish authorities ( document the development in cases and deaths, both in the EU/EØS and on a global scale. In the previous weeks, I have seen a risk of death around 4 percent. Update 27/3-2020: In Italy, we observe a risk of death greater than the risk of death from SARS. I expect a wave of viral spread in Europe from Italy and Spain through France and Germany and exponential growth in number of cases for weeks to come. The novel virus will take its toll the next years in symbiosis with influenza. Hundreds of thousands will die changing the hygiene culture and demanding reform of health services in the Western world. The development in Japan is now worse than a month ago. Japan remains the most successful nation relative to its population size. Links to monitoring tools and sites: